Bearish intraday lean, but dual-event-gated by the BoE — wait for the decision
Edition 2026-06-17 · prediction window to Thu 18 Jun 2026 22:00 UK
Catalyst: BoE decision (Thu 18 Jun, 12:00 BST) is the dominant in-window GBP catalyst — scheduled/official, but vote split unconfirmed. BoJ hiked to 1.00% on 16 Jun (7-1 vote, confirmed). FOMC hawkish hold delivered 17 Jun (multiple-source). Last checked 19:10 UTC, 17 Jun.
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