Short-biased lean into Thursday open, hawkish-FOMC and tech-peer selling as the driver — but oversold intraday and gap risk from pre-market warrants caution.
Edition 2026-06-18 · prediction window to Thu 18 Jun 2026 21:00 UK
Catalyst: FOMC hawkish hold delivered Wed 17 Jun (multiple-source): no 2026 cuts, minority projecting hikes, Dec-hike probability 77%. Nasdaq -0.7%. No AAPL-specific in-window catalyst (earnings 30 Jul, outside window). WWDC AI reaction context ongoing (post-event overhang). Last checked 18:55 UTC, 17 Jun.
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