BTC is in a confirmed dual-timeframe downtrend with the daily RSI deep in oversold territory and all major daily moving averages stacked above current price, creating a structural overhang that favours continuation lower absent a decisive macro catalyst.
Edition 2026-06-29 · prediction window to Mon 29 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC (22:00 BST)
Catalyst: High-impact day. May PCE (BEA, ~08:30 ET), Q1 GDP third estimate (BEA, ~08:30 ET), May Durable Goods Orders preliminary, Advanced Goods Trade Balance, and UoM Consumer Sentiment Final are all on the June 29 calendar per the Bradesco/Bloomberg economic calendar. These releases are the direct macro conduit linking inflation persistence to Fed rate-path expectations, which have been the primary driver of BTC ETF outflow acceleration since May.
Data: twelvedata
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