The dominant daily downtrend, deeply sub-par UK macro data, a combustible UK political transition, and the afternoon release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge (May PCE) collectively tilt the near-term directional view toward sterling weakness, with any intraday bounce offering a potential fade opportunity rather than a structural reversal.
Edition 2026-06-29 · prediction window to Mon 29 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC (22:00 BST)
Catalyst: High-impact US PCE data (May) due approximately 12:30 UTC today — this is the session's dominant price-setting event. No high-impact UK data scheduled for today; next BoE meeting July 30. UK leadership nomination window opens July 9.
Data: twelvedata
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