BTC is compressing in a tight range just above the daily pivot cluster, with short-term momentum mildly constructive but structurally capped by the daily downtrend, rising yields, fresh ETF outflows, and unresolved CLARITY Act headline risk heading into a macro-heavy week.
Edition 2026-07-26 · prediction window to Sun 26 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC (22:00 BST)
Catalyst: Two live catalysts: (1) CLARITY Act Senate fate — binary, unscheduled, passage odds reported near 35% as of July 25; (2) US Durable Goods Orders and Q2 GDP Advance Estimate both scheduled Monday 08:30 ET — these are the first major hard US data points of the coming week and will reprice rate expectations at the margin. This session (Sunday) is the pre-data drift window; macro volatility is front-loaded into Monday morning.
Data: twelvedata
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