BTC is in a confirmed dual-timeframe downtrend, trading below all major moving averages on the daily, with hourly momentum deeply oversold heading into the single most consequential macro event of the month — tomorrow's FOMC decision — while the Asian session printed a sharp Nikkei sell-off and overnight equity futures remain in risk-off territory.
Edition 2026-07-28 · prediction window to Tue 28 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC (22:00 BST)
Catalyst: Active and escalating — the FOMC July 28–29 meeting is the primary binary for BTC this session and next. Secondary catalysts include the US Treasury QRA Part 1 at 12:30 UTC today, the 2Y/5Y bond auctions at 16:00 UTC, and the evolving US-Iran geopolitical situation which triggered the most recent ETF outflow session. Q2 GDP releases Tuesday and PCE Thursday add further directional data.
Data: twelvedata
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